SpaceCityScoop site expert N.B. Lindberg just wrote an article about the Houston Rockets’ James Harden trade. You should read it. It’s excellent. Just in case you’ve only got time for one article and you’ve already chosen this one, Lindberg used a series of projection models to predict the Brooklyn Nets’ potential range of outcomes through 2027. Of course, the Houston Rockets’ future is now tethered to Brooklyn’s, as the team’s primary return for Harden was control of their draft through (you guessed it) 2027.
Raphael Stone wasn’t joking when he said this trade shouldn’t be evaluated until 2030. By the time we can fairly assess this move, the United States will have had a new president and possibly two, cars may fly, and time travelers may be angling to return to early 2021 to warn Nets GM Sean Marks, or Stone, to take a different route.
Lindberg’s models weren’t very optimistic for the Rockets. It turns out that having three of the most potent offensive weapons in the NBA forecasts as a formula for long-term success. Nonetheless, there are reasons to love Stone’s decision to move Harden for a historic haul of draft capital, and very little else. Here are 3 of them.