There's been much discussion about point guards the Rockets could acquire in 2025-26. It's beginning to look like the best move they could make is no move at all.
I'll eat crow. I've advocated for multiple trades, and they've all included a point guard. It's time to abandon those discussions:
The Rockets are doing just fine.
The Rockets shouldn't disrupt their chemistry
This all begins with Reed Sheppard's meteoric rise.
Sheppard is averaging 12.6 points and 1.6 steals per game. He's shooting 47.8% on 5.8 three-point attempts per contest. Sheppard has a jaw-dropping 5.5 Box Plus/Minus (BPM). There's no point in questioning whether he can become a starting-caliber player on a contender anymore:
He already is one.
That's massive. This is a sophomore we're talking about. If Sheppard was able to make this type of quantum leap between his rookie and sophomore seasons, who knows how high his potential is?
Bringing in any starting-caliber point guard could disrupt his development. That's not a risk the Rockets can take. That should be out of the question:
But should they bolster their depth?
Rockets should hang onto their assets
If Aaron Holiday's performance against the Cavaliers was any indication, even that's not a necessary move. He had 18 points on 5/7 shooting from the field and 3/5 shooting from long range in just 19 minutes.
Granted, that's just one game. Still, Holiday is shooting 45.5% from long range so far this season. He's got a solid 1.8 BPM. It's going to be difficult to find a better backup point guard without parting with meaningful assets.
Sure, the Rockets could try to flip Jeff Green and a second-round pick for Dante Exum as I'd previously suggested. They may feel like they'd prefer to maintain their size advantage and see if Exum can usurp Holiday in the rotation:
But it's not likely to happen.
Exum is not the shooter that Holiday is. That's just one example, but the broader point is that Holiday is about as good a backup point guard as you can find without parting with assets that count.
So, unless something dramatically changes between now and the deadline, the Rockets should stay the course. Running offense through Alperen Sengun is working. The guards are performing well. Houston has an impressive collection of future assets, and as long as they're contending, they ought to hang onto them:
The best move would be no move until further notice.
